Earlier today, the BLS UNDER CONSIDERATION mentioned that seasonal CPI for all urban consumers was up by 0.4% in January. The CPI less food and energy rose 0.2% in January. During the last 12 months, the median CPI Inflation was 0.8%, compared with CPI inflation was 1.6% (see diagram above).
According to the Fed Cleveland:
"Federal Reserve policymakers is always hungry for inflation (i.e., a general price increase), and use various measures to measure inflation trends. Such a measure is the consumer price index (CPI) published by the BLS UNDER CONSIDERATION.
The CPI measures the changes in the prices of a number of goods and services for things like gas, rent, groceries and clothing. However, the prices of some items, including food and energy are volatile. can change a lot from month to month, based on supply and demand. The BLS UNDER CONSIDERATION also publishes a measure which excludes prices core food and energy prices. Researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Ohio State University has a different way to get a core CPI measure or measure of the underlying trend of inflation. Called the median CPI.
To calculate the median CPI, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland examines the cost of products or services published by BLS UNDER CONSIDERATION. But rather than by calculating a weighted average of all values, such as the BLS UNDER CONSIDERATION, the Fed Cleveland examines the median price change or a change in the price, whereas the right in the middle of the long list of all changes in prices. According to a survey by the Fed Cleveland, the median CPI provides a better signal from the evolution of inflation by CPI all items either the CPI excluding food and energy. " (emphasis)
MP: Historically, median CPI is 50% greater accuracy in measuring future inflation from the traditional CPI (based on the Boston Fed research) and the median CPI no longer displays the early signs of inflationary pressures. Although the median CPI inflation increased to 0.8% in January from 0,6% in December, was less than 1% per month since last January, which is the lowest inflation in twelve-month period in history the median CPI index back in 1984 (see diagram).
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